Note · 59 types with enough history
Which models come down.
Share of tracked aircraft that cut their asking price at least once, by type, with the sample behind every figure.
Knowing the market averages a 9.5% cut is not much use when you are shopping for one airframe. The question a buyer actually has is narrower: on the type I am looking at, do sellers come down, and how often? Here is what 4,804 tracked aircraft say.
The types where sellers come down
| Type | Tracked | Cut at least once | Share | Average cut |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Just Aircraft Highlander | 33 | 16 | 48.5% | 6.8% |
| Aviat Husky | 21 | 9 | 42.9% | 6.2% |
| CubCrafters Carbon Cub | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 4.2% |
| Luscombe 8 | 43 | 14 | 32.6% | 16.8% |
| Van's RV-9 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 4.7% |
| Boeing Stearman | 26 | 7 | 26.9% | 12.6% |
| Ercoupe 415 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 6.6% |
| Van's RV-12 | 50 | 13 | 26% | 9.7% |
| Piper PA-22 Tri-Pacer | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 12.2% |
| Beechcraft Bonanza 35 | 119 | 30 | 25.2% | 8.3% |
Every row carries its sample, and you should use it. A 48.5% share on 33 aircraft is a much softer claim than the same share on two hundred, and no figure here rests on more than a few dozen airframes yet. Types with fewer than three cutting sellers are left out entirely rather than shown as a tidy-looking percentage built on one or two aeroplanes.
The types where they do not
| Type | Tracked | Cut at least once | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lancair Lancair | 53 | 4 | 7.5% |
| Van's RV-4 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% |
| Stinson 108 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% |
| Beechcraft Baron | 34 | 4 | 11.8% |
| Waco Waco | 25 | 3 | 12% |
| Piper PA-32 Cherokee Six | 33 | 4 | 12.1% |
The spread between the top of the first table and the bottom of this one is wide enough to matter at the negotiating table, and it is the kind of thing that is invisible if you are watching one advert. A type where one seller in twenty has moved is a different market from one where one in three has.
Often is not the same as deeply
Frequency and depth are separate questions, and they do not line up. Some types produce many small trims; others produce few cuts that are large when they come.
| Type | Average cut | Cut at least once | Tracked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sonex Sonex | 18.3% | 25% | 44 |
| Grumman AA-1 | 17.0% | 19% | 21 |
| Luscombe 8 | 16.8% | 32.6% | 43 |
| Cessna 310 | 14.2% | 22.7% | 22 |
| Boeing Stearman | 12.6% | 26.9% | 26 |
| Glasair Glasair | 12.5% | 23.8% | 42 |
If you are deciding where to push, those two tables ask different things of you. A type near the top of the first one is a market where asking is normal and a seller is unlikely to be offended. A type near the top of this one is a market where the sellers who do move, move properly, and waiting for one of them may be worth more than pressing any of the others.
Does the price band explain it?
Not as neatly as you would expect. Both tables mix cheap types with expensive ones, and the obvious story, that dearer aircraft sit longer and so come down more, is not what the record shows. Whatever is driving this, it is closer to how thin each type's own market is than to the size of the number on the advert.
We are not going to explain it further than that. We can see what sellers did; we cannot see maintenance costs, insurance, how many buyers were circling, or what happened in any conversation. Anything beyond the tables above would be commentary borrowed from somewhere else, and this page only reports what is in the record.
Reading these figures honestly
Three things to hold onto. Every price is an asking price, never a sale price. "Cut at least once" counts aircraft, not cuts, so a seller who came down three times counts once here and the repeat-cut pattern is a separate question. And every type's share is measured over the whole time we have tracked it, so a type first seen in September has had less opportunity to cut than one watched since July.
The per-type pages carry the underlying record if you want to check any row: every tracked type is listed here, each with its own price history and live listings. Definitions are on the methodology page.